Trader

0x42477970683d4d0a52ec7082fee5d760cc5591c4

Performance 95Copyability 95MEDIUM

30D PnL

+$286,016.00

7D PnL

+$121,043.00

+43.7%

30D PnL

+$286,016.00

+37.9%

60D PnL

+$142,093.00

+21.0%

Max Drawdown

0%

Trades

5000

Markets

1752

Median Entry Decay

Liquidity

HIGH

Recent performance
Category exposure

Not available yet for real traders - needs per-market category tags.

Open positions (193)
MarketOutcomeEntryCurrentValuePnL
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes75¢14¢$3,383.20-80.7%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes55¢49¢$3,377.85-11.3%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes36¢2¢$1,678.64-93.2%
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No91¢89¢$725.00-2.2%
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Yes51¢57¢$553.78+13.2%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes47¢56¢$271.24+19.6%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes43¢85¢$147.87+99.1%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2¢2¢$131.25+12.4%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No91¢97¢$127.02+6.5%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes9¢6¢$101.54-38.9%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes6¢6¢$101.30-0.5%
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes70¢68¢$96.43-3.6%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes16¢16¢$89.67-0.9%
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes46¢53¢$88.06+13.1%
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes5¢3¢$87.78-31.8%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes10¢17¢$87.55+59.0%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes97¢97¢$80.43-0.9%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No88¢65¢$72.70-26.2%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes7¢6¢$68.71-22.6%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes39¢50¢$64.67+29.0%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes8¢9¢$62.40+5.4%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes46¢57¢$62.00+24.8%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9¢8¢$57.51-16.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes24¢14¢$47.75-40.6%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes34¢30¢$47.16-13.0%
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes9¢9¢$46.59-9.9%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes23¢15¢$43.43-34.7%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes7¢3¢$42.36-61.9%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes10¢8¢$41.77-23.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes22¢14¢$41.13-34.6%
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes2¢1¢$37.23-51.1%
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes18¢18¢$36.15-1.3%
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes22¢8¢$35.96-64.0%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes9¢3¢$34.78-72.8%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes13¢9¢$31.96-31.6%
Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes6¢5¢$31.27-13.5%
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes54¢67¢$30.59+23.1%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes39¢64¢$25.55+64.3%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes4¢4¢$25.03+15.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No83¢86¢$24.73+2.5%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20¢25¢$22.74+21.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes3¢2¢$21.45-22.9%
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes13¢14¢$20.41+3.8%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes10¢9¢$19.72-15.0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes72¢69¢$18.96-4.2%
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?Yes10¢10¢$17.35-5.0%
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes16¢16¢$17.29-3.1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No45¢52¢$16.09+15.1%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes7¢4¢$15.89-44.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes25¢20¢$15.88-19.4%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes15¢17¢$15.72+10.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes13¢4¢$15.36-71.1%
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Yes50¢50¢$14.69-1.0%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No87¢98¢$14.36+12.3%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes6¢4¢$14.28-42.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes13¢13¢$14.12+4.3%
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes10¢5¢$13.61-47.7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 7?Yes98¢100¢$12.64+1.7%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No74¢95¢$12.51+26.9%
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No22¢25¢$12.49+14.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No23¢42¢$11.99+76.6%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No92¢96¢$11.44+4.2%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes3¢1¢$11.23-56.2%
Will Devonta Smith finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns?Yes4¢24¢$11.05+487.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes12¢7¢$10.84-39.7%
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No90¢95¢$10.38+5.0%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes4¢13¢$9.72+270.8%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes14¢14¢$9.30-1.5%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes40¢8¢$8.94-81.3%
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes0¢0¢$8.64-19.8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes53¢51¢$8.52-4.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes25¢10¢$8.09-61.8%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3¢2¢$7.73-23.8%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No82¢75¢$7.37-8.0%
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No73¢94¢$7.31+28.6%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5¢3¢$7.29-32.4%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes13¢11¢$6.88-11.4%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?Yes6¢7¢$6.78+8.3%
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Yes48¢17¢$6.46-65.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No95¢100¢$6.45+5.5%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes37¢5¢$6.37-85.5%
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes4¢3¢$6.35-25.6%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes70¢62¢$6.10-12.1%
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1¢1¢$6.00-32.2%
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?Yes6¢2¢$5.84-73.7%
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Yes17¢25¢$5.76+44.1%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes8¢4¢$5.38-47.5%
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes33¢38¢$5.38+15.6%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1¢1¢$5.25-41.2%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2¢2¢$5.23-9.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes1¢1¢$5.05-21.4%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes9¢8¢$4.73-13.1%
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes26¢22¢$4.71-16.4%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes34¢74¢$4.68+117.6%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4¢5¢$4.55+12.5%
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes8¢9¢$4.51+1.2%
Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?Yes13¢9¢$4.50-29.1%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2¢1¢$4.46-14.7%
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes23¢30¢$4.17+30.4%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes26¢5¢$4.14-80.3%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1¢0¢$4.06-43.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes55¢50¢$3.78-10.0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes11¢2¢$3.73-79.5%
Will Bijan Robinson finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?Yes13¢10¢$3.65-28.1%
Will Trump say "Gay" during RNC Convention?Yes44¢33¢$3.54-24.2%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes19¢18¢$3.41-5.8%
Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No77¢87¢$3.27+12.3%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No50¢43¢$3.21-14.9%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No5¢4¢$3.20-28.3%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes4¢4¢$3.15-14.8%
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Yes20¢13¢$2.98-35.0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1¢1¢$2.94-41.9%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No62¢15¢$2.70-75.4%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes4¢6¢$2.70+42.0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes2¢2¢$2.64-25.5%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No70¢95¢$2.61+35.1%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes3¢5¢$2.59+43.9%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No87¢96¢$2.46+11.1%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes20¢27¢$2.42+32.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes5¢1¢$2.32-86.3%
Will Carolina Panthers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?Yes6¢2¢$2.30-63.0%
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes9¢6¢$2.28-40.4%
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?Yes3¢1¢$2.28-61.3%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes24¢17¢$2.26-31.0%
Will Bodø/Glimt win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes0¢0¢$2.25-37.5%
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes10¢11¢$2.22+5.0%
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Yes11¢7¢$2.19-39.5%
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes6¢7¢$2.11+10.7%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1¢2¢$2.06+10.7%
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?Yes21¢8¢$2.04-63.9%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No88¢88¢$2.00-0.6%
Will Devonta Smith finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?Yes6¢6¢$1.99+5.8%
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No90¢91¢$1.99+0.8%
Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Yes75¢31¢$1.97-59.3%
Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes17¢18¢$1.97+2.9%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No94¢93¢$1.96-1.6%
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes11¢11¢$1.96-4.5%
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No84¢82¢$1.90-3.0%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes7¢8¢$1.90+7.1%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes11¢13¢$1.88+9.8%
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes4¢4¢$1.84-0.8%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No52¢49¢$1.81-5.8%
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes9¢5¢$1.81-50.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes33¢3¢$1.78-90.6%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes43¢40¢$1.78-6.8%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3¢3¢$1.78-1.9%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes45¢40¢$1.77-12.2%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1¢1¢$1.73-3.8%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes7¢1¢$1.70-91.0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes6¢1¢$1.69-90.2%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes17¢14¢$1.60-14.7%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?Yes2¢2¢$1.58+13.0%
Will Jonathan Greenard finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?Yes2¢2¢$1.50-20.0%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No21¢17¢$1.48-18.7%
Will Bijan Robinson finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns?Yes9¢4¢$1.44-54.4%
Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes0¢0¢$1.34-25.0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes0¢0¢$1.31-25.0%
Will AC Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Yes12¢9¢$1.28-29.2%
Will Quinyon Mitchell win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes3¢2¢$1.26-33.1%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes6¢4¢$1.23-33.6%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No94¢99¢$1.23+6.1%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes68¢79¢$1.19+14.6%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No18¢4¢$1.17-78.6%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No82¢94¢$1.10+14.0%
Will Jalen Hurts finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR among qualified players?Yes7¢4¢$1.10-41.4%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes22¢12¢$1.08-45.5%
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Yes23¢13¢$1.06-45.7%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes10¢0¢$1.03-97.5%
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes12¢5¢$1.02-62.5%
T20 Series Cyprus vs Finland: Cyprus vs Finland - Toss Match Double Cyprus WinnerYes98¢50¢$1.01-49.5%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes38¢48¢$0.94+25.5%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes14¢1¢$0.92-96.0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No92¢82¢$0.89-10.9%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No92¢97¢$0.79+5.9%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes25¢2¢$0.79-91.3%
Will Jalen Hurts finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?Yes3¢1¢$0.78-58.3%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Yes7¢2¢$0.65-68.2%
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes8¢3¢$0.62-65.2%
Will Yordan Alvarez lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?Yes9¢3¢$0.59-67.2%
Will the New York Mets clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?Yes19¢2¢$0.55-87.9%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1¢1¢$0.55-45.5%
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes28¢7¢$0.49-76.5%
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes2¢0¢$0.45-78.6%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes60¢13¢$0.43-78.3%
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1¢0¢$0.29-83.3%
Will Chase DeLauter win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?Yes11¢0¢$0.28-99.5%
Lamar Jackson traded by next season?Yes4¢1¢$0.25-86.8%
Will Makai Lemon win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes32¢4¢$0.23-88.1%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes15¢14¢$0.05-10.0%
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes4¢0¢$0.05-98.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes16¢0¢$0.01-99.7%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes12¢2¢$0.00-86.9%
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes1¢0¢$0.00-33.3%
Closed positions
MarketOutcomeEntryClosedPnL
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos TsitsipasBen Shelton75¢Sep 7, 01:40 AM+$29,712.90
Baylor vs. AuburnAuburn54¢Sep 5, 11:47 PM+$665.21
Spread: FC Schalke 04 (-1.5)FC Bayern München96¢Sep 5, 06:43 PM+$789.24
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports50¢Sep 5, 10:08 AM+$812.30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?No34¢Sep 4, 09:25 PM+$87,932.98
Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Yes31¢Sep 4, 03:46 AM+$1,129.94
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BTeam Falcons63¢Aug 29, 08:10 PM+$833.03
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBNK FEARX29¢Aug 27, 12:33 PM+$787.07
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions58¢Aug 26, 08:24 PM+$882.56
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force53¢Aug 20, 02:43 PM+$690.54
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial GroupKiwoom DRX Challengers32¢Aug 20, 10:03 AM+$738.24
Spread: NK Celje (-1.5)ŠK Slovan Bratislava93¢Aug 19, 09:10 PM+$818.04
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerEDward Gaming31¢Aug 19, 05:44 PM+$1,612.65
Spread: AEK (-2.5)PFK Levski Sofia96¢Aug 18, 09:07 PM+$1,894.75
Will LGD Gaming Win The International 2026?Yes3¢Aug 16, 03:26 PM+$1,040.64
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes0¢Aug 15, 06:11 PM+$679.32
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InKRÜ Esports66¢Aug 14, 01:25 AM+$1,002.80
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes22¢Aug 13, 12:09 AM+$947.29
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes2¢Aug 5, 05:15 PM+$2,478.98
FK Pardubice vs. FK Jablonec: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under91¢Aug 2, 09:56 PM+$783.08
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes47¢Jul 20, 01:14 AM+$4,693.57
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2¢Jul 10, 01:10 AM+$1,167.54
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore OriolesChicago Cubs51¢Jul 8, 02:34 AM+$718.28
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2¢Jul 6, 06:13 AM+$5,721.68
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes11¢Jul 4, 01:03 AM+$806.92
Investment calculator

What following this trader could have looked like - and what it might look like going forward.

If you'd invested this, then...

7D

$1,437.00

+43.7%

30D

$1,379.00

+37.9%

60D

$1,210.00

+21.0%

Based on this trader's own real realized ROI over each period. Historical simulation, not a real user's result - past performance doesn't guarantee future returns.