30D PnL
-$4,724.007D PnL
+$26.00
+0.5%
30D PnL
-$4,724.00
+7.5%
60D PnL
+$4,964.00
+5.1%
Max Drawdown
0%
Trades
27
Markets
20
Median Entry Decay
—
Liquidity
MEDIUM
Recent performance
Built from every real closed position on Polymarket - wins and losses both included, nothing filtered out. Verify on Polymarket
Category exposure
Not available yet for real traders - needs per-market category tags.
Open positions (12)
| Market | Outcome | Entry | Current | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 28¢ | 97¢ | $16,645.53 | +242.4% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 23¢ | 96¢ | $14,480.77 | +318.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 93¢ | 92¢ | $9,150.00 | -1.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 63¢ | 67¢ | $6,650.00 | +5.6% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 36¢ | 97¢ | $1,573.22 | +172.3% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? | No | 47¢ | 99¢ | $988.00 | +112.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 68¢ | $884.19 | +77.6% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 53¢ | 92¢ | $572.19 | +72.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17¢ | 10¢ | $292.50 | -41.3% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 31¢ | 16¢ | $261.60 | -47.0% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 37¢ | 25¢ | $50.00 | -31.5% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 2¢ | $4.40 | -89.2% |
Closed positions
50 won, 71 lost over the last 90 days (real total - only the 25 most recent show below)
| Market | Outcome | Entry | Closed | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | Dec 31, 12:00 AM | -$43.00 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | Dec 31, 12:00 AM | -$70.68 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | Oct 18, 12:00 AM | -$500.00 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | No | 57¢ | Oct 16, 06:02 AM | +$639.78 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 75¢ | Oct 13, 06:16 PM | +$1,592.79 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | No | 85¢ | Oct 10, 02:33 PM | +$1,440.02 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 70¢ | Oct 1, 08:03 AM | +$360.72 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | Oct 1, 07:02 AM | +$2,361.74 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 93¢ | Oct 1, 06:04 AM | +$1,379.80 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | Oct 1, 12:00 AM | -$344.33 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 3, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | Sep 3, 12:00 AM | -$120.29 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 86¢ | Sep 1, 12:00 AM | -$1,292.00 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? | No | 70¢ | Sep 1, 12:00 AM | -$350.75 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 29, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | Aug 30, 12:00 AM | -$40.00 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 27, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | Aug 28, 12:00 AM | -$40.00 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 25, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | Aug 26, 12:00 AM | -$10.00 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | Aug 15, 12:00 AM | -$971.99 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | Aug 14, 12:00 AM | -$30.35 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | Aug 13, 12:00 AM | -$10.23 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | Aug 12, 12:00 AM | -$13.34 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? | No | 23¢ | Aug 11, 06:02 AM | +$377.85 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? | Yes | 32¢ | Aug 11, 12:00 AM | -$2,000.51 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | Aug 8, 12:00 AM | -$27.50 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | Aug 7, 12:00 AM | -$17.35 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 4, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | Aug 5, 12:00 AM | -$25.18 |
Investment calculator
What following this trader could have looked like - and what it might look like going forward.
If you'd invested this, then...
7D
$1,005.00
+0.5%
30D
$1,075.00
+7.5%
60D
$1,051.00
+5.1%
Based on this trader's own real realized ROI over each period. Historical simulation, not a real user's result - past performance doesn't guarantee future returns.