30D PnL
+$45,238.007D PnL
-$6,951.00
-4.3%
30D PnL
+$45,238.00
+3.2%
60D PnL
+$4,600.00
+0.7%
Max Drawdown
17.9%
Trades
87
Markets
11
Median Entry Decay
—
Liquidity
MEDIUM
Recent performance
Built from every real closed position on Polymarket - wins and losses both included, nothing filtered out. Verify on Polymarket
Category exposure
Not available yet for real traders - needs per-market category tags.
Open positions (1)
| Market | Outcome | Entry | Current | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 75¢ | 88¢ | $189,272.13 | +15.9% |
Closed positions
19 won, 7 lost over the last 90 days (real total - only the 25 most recent show below)
| Market | Outcome | Entry | Closed | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 94¢ | Oct 15, 12:31 PM | -$6,950.65 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 99¢ | Oct 5, 03:34 AM | +$272.03 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 90¢ | Sep 30, 10:47 PM | +$17,423.95 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? | No | 77¢ | Sep 26, 05:53 AM | +$60.09 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | Yes | 96¢ | Sep 22, 05:49 PM | +$2,509.33 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | Yes | 95¢ | Sep 22, 05:49 PM | +$646.34 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 82¢ | Sep 21, 12:43 PM | -$9,976.01 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | Yes | 98¢ | Sep 21, 08:32 AM | +$560.24 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 99¢ | Sep 21, 04:19 AM | +$54.65 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 75¢ | Jul 29, 08:06 PM | +$40,637.84 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | Yes | 99¢ | Jul 7, 06:29 PM | +$451.12 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | No | 100¢ | Jun 30, 05:28 AM | +$43.46 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 99¢ | Jun 29, 11:24 PM | +$24.88 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 99¢ | Jun 24, 07:52 PM | +$111.64 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 97¢ | Jun 24, 05:04 PM | -$318.54 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 99¢ | Jun 24, 03:04 PM | +$116.07 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | Jun 17, 09:07 PM | +$767.60 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 93¢ | Jun 16, 07:24 PM | -$878.08 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | Apr 27, 05:34 PM | +$1,819.70 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 93¢ | Mar 18, 06:02 PM | +$7,771.12 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 99¢ | Feb 4, 01:11 AM | +$4,954.86 |
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 82¢ | Feb 2, 06:53 AM | -$3,843.28 |
| Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 80¢ | Feb 2, 06:24 AM | -$551.49 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96¢ | Jan 28, 10:52 PM | +$4,518.49 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Yes | 77¢ | Jan 3, 01:35 AM | -$4,654.38 |
Investment calculator
What following this trader could have looked like - and what it might look like going forward.
If you'd invested this, then...
7D
$957.00
-4.3%
30D
$1,032.00
+3.2%
60D
$1,007.00
+0.7%
Based on this trader's own real realized ROI over each period. Historical simulation, not a real user's result - past performance doesn't guarantee future returns.